The other day I chatted with Anya, a Filipina founder bootstrapping her blockchain-based supply chain solution to the local mango farmers. She’s brilliant, dedicated, but always fighting tooth and nail for pennies on the dollar with the big boys. Her story isn’t unique. It’s the reality for so many other Southeast Asian startups just trying to disrupt the status quo. So, when I see news of CZ meeting with Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, promising a blockchain revolution in Malaysia, my first thought isn't excitement. It's, "Will this actually help Anya, and others like her?" Or will it simply clear the path for Binance to do the same in yet another market?

Malaysia's Blockchain Ambitions: Genuine or Just Hype?

Malaysia’s goal of establishing itself as a blockchain hub for Southeast Asia is ambitious — even admirable. While still a proposal, the concept of regulatory coordination between the SC, BNM, and Ministry of Digital has many in the crypto community buzzing. It sure sounds good on paper! When it comes to coordinated regulation, the double-edged sword can cut both ways. Most importantly, it can provide a predictable pathway for innovation. It may become a bureaucratic labyrinth that favors the incumbents, like Binance, that have the bank accounts, staff, and experience to navigate politically charged legal climates.

Consider the regulatory goals: encouraging innovation while ensuring investor protection and compliance. Noble goals, but what do these goals look like in practice. Will their regulations prioritize alleviating the special burdens small, local, homegrown, startups face? Or, like some new Amazon facility, will they mostly serve the interests of big, globalized companies?

I say this because I can’t help but think of the early days of the internet. The potential of democratization, of putting the power in the hands of people and small businesses. In some ways, the internet fulfilled all of its promises. It also produced the tech monopolies that now dominate huge swathes of our online existence. Are we doomed to go down the same road with blockchain, trading one group of centralized gatekeepers for a new one?

Binance's Embrace: Blessing or a Curse?

CZ’s regional strategy is clear: engage with emerging markets, actively develop digital finance frameworks. Pakistan, now Malaysia... who's next? This isn’t inherently bad. Binance contributes a world of expertise, technology, and the potential for international investment. The concern is that influence can become disproportionately powerful.

Will it take the involvement of Binance to really level the playing field? Will local startups have to work on Binance’s terms? Or will they need to adopt Binance’s tech stack and list on Binance’s exchange, to become subsidiaries in a Binance-controlled ecosystem?

And in fact, I had a recent conversation with a Malaysian VC investor (on background, of course) who articulated just about the same worries. "Binance coming in is great for headlines," he said, "but I worry about the long-term impact on local innovation. How would Malaysian startups stand a chance of competing with such a behemoth as Binance?” He added, "We need to ensure that the regulatory framework doesn't inadvertently favor Binance at the expense of local players."

The Malaysian government has, at least on the surface, shown a strong commitment to transparency. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim affirmed this commitment in a live X (formerly Twitter) thread last month. Transparency alone isn’t enough. We need concrete policies that actively support local blockchain innovation, that foster competition, and that prevent the emergence of a centralized, Binance-controlled ecosystem.

FeatureLocal StartupsBinance
ResourcesLimited funding, smaller teamsVast financial resources, global team
Regulatory ExpertiseNavigating complex regulations for the first timeExperienced in navigating global regulations
Market ReachPrimarily local or regionalGlobal market access
TechnologyDeveloping innovative solutions, but limited infrastructureEstablished technology, extensive infrastructure

Southeast Asia's Blockchain Future: Centralized or Decentralized?

We mustn’t be seduced by the magic of big names and big dreams. We need to start by making sure that we’re supporting the development of local talent. Mystifying the move towards being a “blockchain hub” should not eclipse the drive to build a real decentralized ecosystem.

What would happen if Malaysia and other Southeast Asian countries changed course. Beyond just luring Binance though, they could foster a blockchain sandbox ecosystem for talent there to incubate startups! Why not give them grants to their most promising tech startups. In addition, they can provide mentorship programs that walk these businesses through the regulatory landscape and help them scale up. Imagine if, instead, they actively encouraged and promoted open-source blockchain technologies. This would put the power in local developers' hands to build their own solutions as opposed to being locked into proprietary platforms.

Ultimately, the success of Malaysia's blockchain ambitions, and indeed the success of blockchain adoption across Southeast Asia, hinges on one critical question: Will this partnership truly foster a decentralized, innovative blockchain ecosystem, or will it represent a step towards centralization and control by a single entity? The answer to that, I’m afraid, is all too much TBD. So too does the future of Anya—and millions of other Southeast Asian entrepreneurs—wait in the balance.

Ultimately, the success of Malaysia's blockchain ambitions, and indeed the success of blockchain adoption across Southeast Asia, hinges on one critical question: Will this partnership truly foster a decentralized, innovative blockchain ecosystem, or will it represent a step towards centralization and control by a single entity? The answer, I fear, is still very much up in the air. And the future of Anya, and countless other Southeast Asian entrepreneurs, hangs in the balance.